Kenya is preparing for high-stakes mini polls across 22 electoral positions, including six parliamentary and one senatorial seat, which are emerging as a political litmus test ahead of the 2027 general elections. With the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC) now fully constituted, key political figures from opposing alliances are set to face off. President William Ruto’s Kenya Kwanza alliance, facing a newly united opposition led by Rigathi Gachagua, Kalonzo Musyoka, and others, will compete in by-elections triggered by deaths, court petitions, and Cabinet appointments. Budget constraints, shifting alliances, and the growing influence of Gen Z voters are likely to increase the complexity, particularly in hotspots such as Mbeere North, Kasipul, and Banisa. Analysts see these by-elections as a measure of popular support and a test of the IEBC’s credibility. As traditional parties strive to strengthen their bases, emerging youth movements and strategic coalitions may redefine Kenya’s political landscape heading into 2027.