Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 presidential election has significant implications for US policy, particularly regarding climate change. His campaign focused on a return to policies that prioritise fossil fuel development and deregulation, appealing to voters who are concerned about economic growth and energy independence. Trump’s win signals a continuation of his previous administration’s approach, which many experts warn could lead to severe setbacks in climate action and environmental protections.

Restoration of climate denialism

A second Trump presidency is expected to restore a climate denialist narrative to the Oval Office, effectively dismantling existing environmental protections. Experts predict that this could lead to a significant rollback of regulations aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions and protecting natural resources. Trump’s administration is likely to prioritise fossil fuel extraction, as evidenced by his past mantra of “drill, baby, drill” and his intention to terminate funding for initiatives like the Inflation Reduction Act, which aimed to promote clean energy and combat climate change.

Immediate rollbacks of environmental protections

Trump’s administration is anticipated to initiate immediate rollbacks of climate regulations. For instance, he has pledged to end offshore wind energy projects on his first day in office, reflecting a broader strategy to eliminate renewable energy initiatives. This approach could exacerbate the already critical situation regarding climate change, as the US is projected to experience record-high temperatures and increased greenhouse gas emissions during his term.

Health and environmental risks

The potential consequences of Trump’s policies extend beyond climate change to public health. The rollback of environmental protections could lead to increased air and water pollution, posing significant health risks to vulnerable populations. Health advocates are preparing for a renewed battle against these rollbacks, emphasising the need for robust environmental regulations to protect public health.

State-level initiatives and resistance

Despite the anticipated federal rollbacks, some states are taking proactive measures to combat climate change. For example, Washington state voters recently upheld a law requiring polluters to cap their fossil fuel emissions, demonstrating that state-level initiatives can still drive climate action even in the face of federal inaction. Similarly, California’s support for a $10 billion climate bond indicates a strong commitment to addressing climate issues at the state level, which may serve as a counterbalance to federal policies.

In conclusion, Trump’s presidency is likely to mean a significant regression in US climate policy, characterised by a return to fossil fuel prioritisation and the dismantling of environmental protections. The implications of these policies could be dire, not only for climate action but also for public health and environmental sustainability. However, state-level initiatives may provide a glimmer of hope, showcasing that local efforts can still contribute to the fight against climate change despite federal challenges.